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Wind AlliesTier 1
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 21.7% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +0.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Rogue | 4.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.5% | +1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
| Water Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Water Tonoris | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 46 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 46 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Gatekeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Genesis Aegis | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Alliance Gearshield | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Allied Warpriestess | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Archon Broadsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Recruitment Officer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seasoned Shieldmaster | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Young Peacekeeper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Into the Fray | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |